1. Basic structure of a FutureRadar

The focus of the FutureRadar basically is aimed at three types of information: Probable or expected developments, promising new concepts and ideas and improbable and potentially surprising developments and events:

Forecast Radar		OpportunityRadar		SurpriseRadar
Statements of think tanks, experts and future researchers on probable or expected developments and events as basis for strategic decisions		Statements of internal and external actors on promising business lines, business models and strategies as basis of investments		Statements of think tanks, experts and future researchers on IMprobable and potentially surprising developments and events

2. Connection of the information to the "Eltville Model"

The results of the FutureRadar fit perfectly into the "Eltville Model" of future management which was developed by FutureManagementGroup AG:

The future radar delivers the necessary orientation knowledge about the basis of the strategy The complete strategy including opportunities, vision, guidelines, strategies, aims and projects is founded on this

3. FutureScan for signals

The FutureRadar begins with a "future scan". Generally relevant signals are filtered from information sources to be determined on case-to-case basis and then are rendered more precisely, are categorized and evaluated. The nature of the filtered signals (potentially critical signals) is determined according to the chosen focus: ForecastRadar, OpportunityRadar or SurpriseRadar.

Filtering of signals during the FutureScan

4. Scenario building

The critical signals identified are transformed into fundamental FutureQuestions and SurpriseQuestions. According to the possible extremes scenarios are developed:

Phase	ScenarioBuilding
Aktivity	Determination of "existence variables"	Development of scenarios
Result	Identification of critical signals and transformation into existential future questions and surprise questions	Environmental scenarios with relevance to the existence of the enterprise with projective or suprising character
Number	10-30	4-20
Quality  criteria	Potential threat or opportunity	Orientation and inspiration

In the next two steps which are not described here, the consequences for the company are identified, strategically integrated and the FutureRadar is institutionalized.